Expert judgment for climate change adaptation

Thompson, Erica, Frigg, Roman and Helgeson, Casey (2016) Expert judgment for climate change adaptation. Philosophy of Science, 83 (5). pp. 1110-1121. ISSN 0031-8248

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Abstract

Climate change adaptation is largely a local matter, and adaptation planning can benefit from local climate change projections. Such projections are typically generated by accepting climate model outputs in a relatively uncritical way. We argue, based on the IPCC’s treatment of model outputs from the CMIP5 ensemble, that this approach is unwarranted and that subjective expert judgment should play a central role in the provision of local climate change projections intended to support decision-making.

Item Type:	Article
Official URL:	http://journal.philsci.org/
Additional Information:	© 2016 Philosophy of Science Association
Divisions:	Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method CPNSS Centre for Analysis of Time Series
Subjects:	G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GE Environmental Sciences
Date Deposited:	20 Jan 2016 14:19
Last Modified:	20 Sep 2025 01:11
Projects:	AH/J006033/1, AH/J006033/1, FFI2012-37354, NE/M008304/1
Funders:	Arts and Humanities Research Council, Arts and Humanities Research Council, Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation, Natural Environment Research Council
URI:	http://eprintstest.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/65071

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